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Rob's two
most recently published books are described below.
The first, “Toll Road Traffic & Revenue Forecasts: An
Interpreter’s Guide”, is also available in
Spanish
and
Chinese.
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Toll Road Traffic & Revenue Forecasts: An Interpreter’s Guide
April 2009. 124pp. 978-0956152718. Hardcover. |
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Privately Financed Roads in Britain: A Policy Assessment
April 2009. 212pp. 978-0956152701. Paperback. |
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Toll Road Traffic & Revenue
Forecasts: An Interpreter's Guide |
RBconsult |



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Toll roads, bridges and tunnels represent
the most popular class of infrastructure attracting
international private finance today. Many deals, however, expose
financiers, insurers and other project counterparties to demand
risk. This moves traffic and revenue forecasts centre-stage in
terms of being able to understand and test the investment
proposition - yet the forecasting process itself often remains a
mystery. Additionally, there are frequent concerns about
predictive reliability set against a history of poor forecasting
accuracy.
Written specifically for credit analysts, investors and other
professionals whose primary expertise lies outside
transportation, this book lifts the lid on the 'black box' of
traffic and revenue forecasting.
Readers are introduced to traffic modelling and the factors
underpinning future projections of asset use – and the resulting
project revenues – in simple-to-comprehend language. This
straightforward guide highlights key issues to watch for and
suggests ways in which traffic and revenue forecasts can be
analysed to improve transparency and investor understanding.
“This book is a must-read for all interested in the revenue
risks of toll roads.”
Professor Bent Flyvbjerg (author, ‘Megaprojects
and Risk’, The Netherlands)
“This is essential reading for all engaged in the process of
putting together and evaluating bids for toll road projects…”
Professor David A Hensher (Institute of
Transport & Logistics Studies, Sydney)
“Monoline insurers and other long-term project participants
have much to gain from looking inside the black-box and
understanding the ‘art’ behind industry consultants’
projections.”
Eugenio Mendoza (MD, MBIA Insurance
Corporation, New York)
“Rob Bain’s easy-to-follow guide provides project sponsors
and financiers with useful tools to help demystify the black art
of traffic forecasting.”
Frank Schramm (MD, Bilfinger Berger Project
Investments GmbH, Germany)
$62.95
on £27.95
on |
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Privately Financed Roads in
Britain: A Policy Assessment |
RBconsult |
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'Privately Financed Roads in Britain: A Policy Assessment'
critically examines the role of private finance in the
construction, operation, maintenance and management of modern
highways.
The focus is on the UK's Private Finance Initiative (PFI) yet
many of the lessons learned retain a currency in the context of
international public-private partnerships.
Separate chapters cover: Public Policy Objectives; Key
Project-Level Risks (construction and traffic); Value for Money
and Public Sector Comparators; The Financial Architecture of
Private Sector Road Operating Companies; Strengths and
Weaknesses of the Privately-Financed Roads Model; Alternative
Debt/Equity Structuring; and Containing Private Financing Costs.
$104.95
on £47.45
on |
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